What is a Tier One Fund?
A Tier 1 fund meets all of the following criteria:
1. A ‘likelihood to outperform’ of at least 90% over a 3-year period,
2. A ‘likelihood to outperform’ of at least 85% over a 5-year period,
3. An average excess return of at least 2% (200 basis points) per annum,
4. A positive Value at Risk rating – see Definitions below,
5. An Underperformance Ratio of 50% or less – see Definitions below, and
6. An end ‘Value of $100 net of fees’ that is at least 10% higher than the Index for a 5-year period.
These are the Investment Funds you want! They have a very high likelihood of outperforming the market and substantially improving your Pension Fund’s net return. Roughly 5% of Investment Funds will meet Tier 1 criteria.
Please have a look at the report for Investment Fund #18, it is a Tier 1 fund. The Watch Dog Report for IF 18 is also available in the Sample Reports tab.
What is a Tier 2 fund?
A Tier 2 fund must meet the following criteria:
1. A ‘likelihood to outperform’ of at least 85% (within 5% of the Tier 1 target) over a 3-year period,
2. A ‘likelihood to outperform’ of at least 80% (within 5% of the Tier 1 target) over a 5-year period,
3. An average excess return of at least 1% (100 basis points) per annum,
4. A positive Value at Risk rating – see Definitions below
5. An Underperformance Ratio of 50% or less – (see Definitions below), &
6. An end ‘Value of $100 net of fees’ that is at least 5% higher than the Index (as opposed to 10% for Tier 1).
A Tier 2 fund has the potential to be a Tier 1 fund. Roughly (an additional) 10% of Investment Funds will meet Tier 2 criteria; Tier 1 and 2 Funds constitute the top 15% of funds.
Please have a look at the report for Investment Fund #3, it is a Tier 2 fund.
What is a Tier 3 fund?
1. Everything else,
2. Roughly 85% of Investment Funds, regardless of category
3. If you have a Tier 3 fund, I will suggest ‘you can do better’.
Please have a look at the report for Investment Fund #51, it is a Tier 3 fund.
Definitions:
Value at Risk – measures how well the Fund performed when the Index is stressed (loses 2% or more in any calendar month). We want the Fund to have a cumulative loss that is less (better) than the Index (e.g., Index loses 23%, Fund loses 19%).
Underperformance Ratio – measures how often a fund underperforms the Index, on a yearly basis, over a 3, 5, or 10-year period. The very best funds underperform 40% of the time so our target is 50% or less.
If a fund underperforms the Index twice (or less) in five years, that is very good.
If a fund underperforms the Index 3 times in a 5-year period, that is acceptable provided that on at least one occasion the Fund is within 100 basis points of the Index (e.g., Index returns 8.75%, Fund returns 7.95% - difference of 80 basis points).
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